INTRODUCTION
Globally, tobacco kills approximately 6 million people and causes more than a trillion dollars of economic damage each year.1 Similarly, the use of alcohol kills approximately 2.3 million people each year. More than half of these deaths occur from NCDs (Non-communicable disease) including cancer, cardiovascular disease, and liver cirrhosis.2 Nearly, 80% of NCD deaths occur in low-and-middle-income countries (such as India). Tobacco consumption and alcohol use together accounts for about 18% of global deaths.3 In addition to communicable diseases, NCDs are becoming major threat in India for increasing the burden of diseases. Age standardized NCD death rates (per 100,000 populations) ranges from 571 among women to 782 among men.2 In addition to cigarette smoking the varying forms of tobacco and alcohol practices prevalent in India contribute to increasing the disease burden.4-11 The mortality patterns may also vary by Socioeconomic status (SES). The common observed association between SES and health outcomes has been of a strong inverse relationship with those in lower SES groups having higher mortality.5-9 Thus, examining tobacco and/ or alcohol associated mortality by SES may delineate the health disparities that may further help to address the disparities.
Using the Mumbai cohort study,8 we had previously reported tobacco as an independent risk factor for deaths from NCDs and communicable diseases. These earlier results on tobacco associated mortality, based on follow-up of 99,570 men and women (age=>35 year), showed higher Hazard Ratios (HRs) for bidi, cigarette smokers, and smokeless tobacco (SLT) users compared to never-users.8 These HRs were adjusted for age and education (surrogate for socioeconomic status: referred here after as SES) but not for alcohol use (alcohol consumption information was not available for these 99570 individuals). Alcohol use information however, was available for a subsequent cohort9-12 of 34,055 men (age=>45 year) and the follow-up results from this cohort9 showed that alcohol use was associated with excess risk for all-causes mortality [Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) 1.13-1.31, adjusted for age, education, and tobacco use]. Since tobacco use and alcohol consumption were closely associated,9-10 we now report results on the effect of adjustment of alcohol use on HRs associated with tobacco use. Furthermore, we are extending our findings to examine these associations by socioeconomic differences. Earlier, we had demonstrated the joint effect of tobacco and alcohol use on all-causes mortality.9 In this paper, we present the joint effect of tobacco (SLT use, bidi, cigarette smoking) and alcohol use on all-causes mortality stratified by SES.
METHODS
This cohort9,10,11 of 34,055 men (age=>45 year) was recruited through house-to-house visits and face-to-face interviews in the city of Mumbai during 1994 to 1997. The survey area was restricted to the main city, covering an area of around 70 sq. km. The persons were recruited from voter’s list which provided name, age, sex, and address of all individuals 18 years and older. Some individuals not listed on the voters’ list were included when they insisted that they were permanent residents (having ration card issued by the government considered as residence proof) of the place. This only formed ~5% of the sample. Additional recruitment detail is published elsewhere.7 Verbal informed consent was taken from each participant. Data analyses plan was approved from Healis-Sekhsaria Institute for Public Health Institutional Review Board (IRB).
FOLLOW-UP
An active house-to house follow-up was conducted during 1999 to 2003 for recording the participant’s vital status. Field investigators were provided with names and addresses of the cohort individuals and were ask to revisit each person. Deaths recorded were then linked with the information obtained from Mumbai (Bombay) Municipal Corporation death registers. The causes of death information were abstracted from the Municipal Corporation death records and an underlying cause of death was assigned and coded as per International Classification of Diseases (ICD Version 10) guidelines. Less than 5% participants were lost-to-follow-up, the most common reason being demolition of their residence for re-development. Additional details regarding the follow-up methodology and estimation of person-years of follow-up have been published previously.7-16
MEASURES
Tobacco use was categorized into three categories: (1) never tobacco users (2) ever used SLT and (3) ever smoked tobacco (may include smokers who use smokeless tobacco as well). Smokers were further categorized as cigarette smokers and bidi smokers (may include bidi smokers who also use cigarette or other smoking forms). Information regarding the frequency per day of tobacco use was sub-divided into three groups: 1-5 times, 6-10 times and >10 times per day. Alcohol usage was categorized as never drinkers and ever drinkers. Alcohol ever drinkers were further categorized as country/desi drinker (brewed and distilled locally made using fruits or grains)9 and any other type drinkers (such as Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL), beer, toddy and spirits not presented due to smaller number in each form). IMFL are distilled and marketed in India, which include whisky, rum, brandy and gin. Frequency of drinking was categorized as those who drank once a month, five or less times a month, three or less times a week (recoded by clubbing these three categories into one referred as less than four times a week), four to five times a week and more than five times a week (recoded by clubbing these two categories into one and referred as four or more times a week).9
Socioeconomic status (SES) was defined using education as proxy. It was broadly categorised into two groups: low SES (included education level of illiterate, primary school-up to 5 yrs of education, and middle school-6 to 8 yrs of education) and high SES (included education level of secondary school-9 to 12 yrs of education, and college-above 12 yrs of education).
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
SPSS Version 13 (IBM, USA) was used for all analysis. The analysis for this study was conducted in 2014. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate tobacco associated HRs adjusted for age, education and alcohol consumption, and alcohol associated HRs adjusted for age, education, and tobacco usage status. HRs for tobacco and alcohol associated all-cause and cause-specific mortality were further stratified by SES. HRs for joint effect of tobacco and alcohol consumption stratified by SES were also presented. HRs for joint effect of frequency of tobacco use and frequency of alcohol use by SES were also presented.
RESULTS
Demographics
Table 1 presents demographics of the 34,055 men according to tobacco habit. Around 90% of alcohol users were tobacco users while around 30% of tobacco users were alcohol users. Cigarette smoking was more common among high SES (2789/4631=64%), while in contrast, SLT use (6473/10169=60%) and bidi smoking (5479/7111=77%) was common among low SES.
Table 1: Sample characteristics of 34,055 men.
|
Non user
|
Smokeless |
Only Cigarette |
Bidi+ |
N=12144 |
N=10169 |
N=4631 |
N=7111
|
Age group
|
45-49
|
5111 |
3912 |
1721 |
2615 |
50-54
|
1980 |
2047 |
863 |
1451 |
55-59
|
1435 |
1399 |
633 |
860
|
60-64 |
1325 |
1119 |
578 |
949
|
65-69 |
929 |
786 |
393 |
578
|
70-74
|
720 |
475 |
257 |
378 |
75-79 |
333 |
244 |
118 |
153
|
80-84
|
182 |
117 |
48 |
90 |
85+ |
129 |
70 |
20 |
37
|
Alcohol
|
Never |
11013 |
7179 |
2924 |
4516 |
Ever |
1131 |
2990 |
1707 |
2595
|
Education level
|
Higher |
6377 |
3696 |
2789 |
1632 |
Lower |
5767 |
6473 |
1842 |
5479
|
+=may include bidi plus mixed (bidi and cigarette) smokers
SES Differences in Mortality from Use of Tobacco
Referring to Table 2, stratification of HRs by SES for all-cause mortality shows higher HR for high SES bidi smoker (HR=2.01) than low SES bidi smoker (HR=1.41). Additionally, within high SES smokers, HR for bidi smokers (2.01) was higher than cigarette smokers (1.28), while within low SES smoker the HRs were similar (1.40) for bidi and cigarette smokers. Bidi smoking increased the risk of mortality from respiratory diseases, TB, and neoplasm among smokers from both high as well as low SES, while cigarette smoking increased risk of mortality from neoplasms. SLT use increased the risk of mortality from respiratory diseases and neoplasms (only high SES), and TB (only low SES).
Table 2: Hazard Ratios in tobacco users for deaths reported among 34,055 men. |
|
Never
Tobacco User |
Smokeless Tobacco Userb |
Smokerc |
Cause of Deatha |
|
Only Cigarette |
Bidid |
All-causes |
|
|
|
Person year |
55648 |
45608 |
21126 |
30449 |
Deaths(n=) |
1074 |
1046 |
550 |
915 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.22(1.12, 1.33) |
1.41(1.27, 1.57) |
1.61(1.47, 1.76) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.18(1.08, 1.28) |
1.33(1.20, 1.48) |
1.52(1.38, 1.67) |
Percent change in HR |
3.28 |
5.67 |
5.29 |
High SESg |
|
|
|
Person year |
31040 |
17922 |
12923 |
7388 |
Deaths(n=) |
541 |
325 |
268 |
208 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.20(1.05, 1.38) |
1.32(1.14, 1.53) |
2.08(1.77, 2.44) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.18(1.03, 1.36) |
1.28(1.10, 1.48) |
2.01(1.71, 2.37) |
Percent change in HR |
1.67 |
3.03 |
3.37 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Person year |
24607 |
27686 |
8203 |
23060 |
Deaths(n=) |
533 |
721 |
282 |
707 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.27(1.13, 1.42) |
1.49(1.29, 1.73) |
1.51(1.35, 1.69) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.21(1.08, 1.35) |
1.40(1.21, 1.62) |
1.41(1.26, 1.59) |
Percent change in HR |
4.72 |
6.04 |
6.62 |
Respiratory system diseases [J00-J99] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
70 |
76 |
38 |
103 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.40(1.01,1.95) |
1.63(1.10, 2.43) |
2.86(2.09, 3.93) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.32(0.95,1.84) |
1.49(1.00, 2.23) |
2.62(1.89, 3.64) |
Percent change in HR |
5.71 |
8.59 |
8.39 |
Pneumonia [J18] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
12 |
20 |
4 |
21 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
2.44(1.18, 5.04) |
1.08(0.35, 3.35) |
4.51(2.14, 9.53) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
2.33(1.12, 4.86) |
1.00(0.32, 3.15) |
4.19(1.95, 9.01) |
Percent change in HR |
4.51 |
7.41 |
7.10 |
COPD [J42-J46] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
48 |
51 |
30 |
74 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.31(0.88, 1.95) |
1.84(1.16, 2.91) |
2.73(1.87, 3.98) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.24(0.83, 1.85) |
1.71(1.07, 2.72) |
2.53(1.72, 3.73) |
Percent change in HR |
5.34 |
7.07 |
7.33 |
Respiratory system diseases [J00-J99] |
|
|
|
|
|
High SESg |
|
|
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
33 |
27 |
17 |
17 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.78(1.07, 2.97) |
1.47(0.82, 2.64) |
3.20(1.77, 5.78) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.76(1.05, 2.94) |
1.41(0.77, 2.58) |
3.10(1.70, 5.66) |
Percent change in HR |
1.12 |
4.08 |
3.13 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
37 |
49 |
21 |
86 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.36(0.89, 2.09) |
1.68(0.98, 2.88) |
2.83(1.92, 4.18) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.24(0.80, 1.92) |
1.51(0.87, 2.61) |
2.53(1.70, 3.78) |
Percent change in HR |
8.82 |
10.12 |
10.60 |
TB [A15-A19] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
40 |
64 |
25 |
63 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.94(1.30, 2.90) |
1.74(1.05, 2.87) |
2.95(1.96, 4.45) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.54(1.03, 2.33) |
1.27(0.76, 2.13) |
2.19(1.43, 3.35) |
Percent change in HR |
20.62 |
27.01 |
25.76 |
High SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
22 |
18 |
13 |
23 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.42(0.76, 2.65) |
1.43(0.72, 2.84) |
4.49(2.49, 8.10) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.16(0.61, 2.19) |
1.02(0.50, 2.06) |
3.31(1.79, 6.09) |
Percent change in HR |
18.31 |
28.67 |
26.28 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
18 |
46 |
12 |
40 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
2.37(1.37, 4.10) |
1.95(0.94, 4.07) |
2.46(1.41, 4.31) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.89(1.08, 3.31) |
1.50(0.71, 3.17) |
1.88(1.06, 3.36) |
Percent change in HR |
20.25 |
23.08 |
23.58 |
Neoplasms [C00-C97] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
39 |
53 |
45 |
66 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.88(1.24, 2.86) |
3.03(1.97, 4.66) |
3.66(2.42, 5.54) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.83(1.20, 2.79) |
2.90(1.87, 4.50) |
3.51(2.30, 5.36) |
Percent change in HR |
2.66 |
4.29 |
4.10 |
Oral and pharynx neoplasms [C00-C14] |
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
1 |
3 |
3 |
11 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
3.63(0.37, 35.50) |
7.89(0.82, 76.07) |
22.42(2.71, 185.29) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
3.23(0.33, 31.98) |
6.62(0.67, 65.20) |
19.46(2.31, 163.95) |
Percent change in HR |
11.02 |
16.10 |
13.20 |
Respiratory neoplasms [C30-C39] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
3 |
8 |
8 |
16 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
3.26(0.86, 12.41) |
6.84(1.81, 25.90) |
10.35(2.93, 36.56) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
2.99(0.78, 11.49) |
6.06(1.57, 23.37) |
9.23(2.57, 33.14) |
Percent change in HR |
8.28 |
11.40 |
10.82 |
Neoplasms [C00-C97] |
High SESg |
|
|
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
18 |
19 |
23 |
19 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
2.25(1.18, 4.30) |
3.50(1.88, 6.49) |
6.37(3.33, 12.21) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
2.26(1.18, 4.33) |
3.53(1.88, 6.65) |
6.43(3.32, 12.45) |
Percent change in HR |
-0.44 |
-0.86 |
-0.94 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
21 |
34 |
22 |
47 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.55(0.90, 2.68) |
2.79(1.53, 5.08) |
2.50(1.49, 4.19) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.45(0.83, 2.53) |
2.57(1.40, 4.74) |
2.31(1.36, 3.92) |
Percent change in HR |
6.45 |
7.89 |
7.60 |
Circulatory system diseases [I00-I99] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
367 |
291 |
164 |
205 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.09(0.94, 1.28) |
1.26(1.05, 1.52) |
1.24(1.04, 1.49) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.07(0.91, 1.25) |
1.22(1.01, 1.48) |
1.20(1.00, 1.44) |
Percent change in HR |
1.83 |
3.17 |
3.23 |
High SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
199 |
114 |
83 |
53 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.18(0.94, 1.49) |
1.17(0.90, 1.51) |
1.59(1.17, 2.16) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.19(0.94, 1.50) |
1.19(0.91, 1.55) |
1.61(1.18, 2.19) |
Percent change in HR |
-0.85 |
-1.71 |
-1.26 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
168 |
177 |
81 |
152 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.06(0.85, 1.31) |
1.38(1.06, 1.81) |
1.10(0.88, 1.38) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.00(0.80, 1.24) |
1.30(0.99, 1.70) |
1.03(0.82, 1.30) |
Percent change in HR |
5.66 |
5.80 |
6.36 |
Digestive system diseases [K00-93] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
28 |
30 |
15 |
25 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.41(0.84, 2.38) |
1.41(0.75, 2.65) |
2.04(1.16, 3.59) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.07(0.63, 1.84) |
0.96(0.50, 1.84) |
1.43(0.80, 2.57) |
Percent change in HR |
24.11 |
31.91 |
29.90 |
Liver [K70-77] |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
21 |
22 |
14 |
23 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.34(0.73, 2.46) |
1.75(0.89, 3.45) |
2.43(1.31, 4.50) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
0.99(0.53, 1.84) |
1.14(0.56, 2.30) |
1.64(0.86, 3.11) |
Percent change in HR |
26.12 |
34.86 |
32.51 |
Digestive system diseases [K00-93] |
|
|
|
|
|
High SESg |
|
|
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
21 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.27(0.65, 2.47) |
0.81(0.35, 1.92) |
1.33(0.54, 3.32) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.00(0.51, 1.99) |
0.55(0.23, 1.33) |
0.95(0.37, 2.41) |
Percent change in HR |
21.26 |
32.10 |
28.57 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
7 |
15 |
8 |
19 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
2.00(0.81, 4.92) |
3.49(1.26, 9.68) |
3.18(1.33, 7.60) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.47(0.58, 3.69) |
2.41(0.84, 6.87) |
2.19(0.89, 5.41) |
Percent change in HR |
26.50 |
30.95 |
31.13 |
Others |
|
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
530 |
532 |
263 |
453 |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.22(1.08, 1.38) |
1.40(1.20, 1.62) |
1.51(1.33, 1.72) |
HRf(95% CI) |
1 |
1.20(1.06, 1.35) |
1.36(1.16, 1.58) |
1.47(1.28, 1.68) |
Percent change in HR |
1.64 |
2.86 |
2.65 |
High SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
248 |
132 |
125 |
90 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.08(0.87, 1.33) |
1.35(1.09, 1.67) |
1.99(1.56, 2.54) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.07(0.87, 1.33) |
1.34(1.07, 1.67) |
1.97(1.54, 2.53) |
Percent change in HR |
0.93 |
0.74 |
1.01 |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Deaths(n=) |
282 |
400 |
138 |
363 |
HRh(95% CI) |
1 |
1.32(1.13, 1.54) |
1.41(1.15, 1.73) |
1.46(1.25, 1.71) |
HRi(95% CI) |
1 |
1.29(1.10, 1.50) |
1.36(1.11, 1.68) |
1.42(1.21, 1.66) |
Percent change in HR |
2.27 |
3.55 |
2.74 |
a=Coded as per ICD 10
b=only non-smoker
c=may include smokers plus mixed (smoking and smokeless tobacco) users
d=may include bidi plus mixed (bidi and cigarette) smokers
e=age and education adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model
f=age, education and alcohol adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model
g=low SES (those reporting education below high school) and high SES (those reporting education high school or above)
h=age adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model
i=age and alcohol adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model |
SES Differences in Mortality from Use of Alcohol
Referring to Table 3, stratification of HRs by SES for all-cause mortality shows higher HRs for both high (1.56) and low (1.31) SES country/desi drinkers compared to any other type drinkers. Country/desi drinking increased the risk of mortality from respiratory diseases, TB, and digestive diseases for both high as well as low SES drinkers.
Table 3: Number of deaths and hazard ratios by cause of death and alcohol use among 34,055 men. |
|
|
Ever Alcohol user |
Cause of Deatha |
Never Alcohol User |
Any type |
Country/desi liquor |
All |
|
|
|
Person year |
114459 |
38372 |
25819 |
Deaths |
2556 |
1029 |
746 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
1.34(1.25, 1.44) |
1.50(1.38, 1.63) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
1.23(1.14, 1.33) |
1.37(1.26, 1.49) |
Percent change in HR |
|
8.21 |
8.67 |
High SES |
|
|
Person year |
52933 |
16341 |
7731 |
Deaths |
999 |
343 |
193 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.26(1.11, 1.43) |
1.77(1.51, 2.06) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.12(0.99, 1.28) |
1.56(1.33, 1.84) |
Percent change in HR |
|
11.11 |
11.86 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Person year |
61526 |
22031 |
18087 |
Deaths |
1557 |
686 |
553 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.36(1.24, 1.49) |
1.42(1.29, 1.56) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.26(1.15, 1.38) |
1.31(1.19, 1.45) |
Percent change in HR |
|
7.35 |
7.15 |
Disease of respiratory [J00-J99] |
|
|
Deaths |
198 |
89 |
69 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
1.66(1.29, 2.14) |
2.00(1.51, 2.65) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
1.39(1.07, 1.81) |
1.68(1.26, 2.24) |
Percent change in HR |
|
16.27 |
16.00 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
70 |
24 |
15 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.35(0.85, 2.15) |
2.38(1.35, 4.21) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.13(0.70, 1.84) |
1.91(1.06, 3.45) |
Percent change in HR |
|
16.3 |
19.75 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
128 |
65 |
54 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.75(1.30, 2.37) |
1.96(1.42, 2.70) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.48(1.08, 2.02) |
1.66(1.19, 2.31) |
Percent change in HR |
|
15.43 |
15.31 |
TB [A15-A19] |
|
|
|
Deaths |
100 |
92 |
81 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
2.95(2.21, 3.92) |
3.91(2.89, 5.28) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
2.56(1.90, 3.45) |
3.38(2.47, 4.63) |
Percent change in HR |
|
13.22 |
13.55 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
38 |
38 |
32 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
3.16(2.01, 4.96) |
5.78(3.59, 9.30) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
2.71(1.69, 4.35) |
5.03(3.02, 8.38) |
Percent change in HR |
|
14.24 |
12.98 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
62 |
54 |
49 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
2.62(1.82, 3.79) |
3.04(2.08, 4.45) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
2.29(1.56, 3.35) |
2.64(1.78, 3.91) |
Percent change in HR |
|
12.6 |
13.16 |
Neoplasms [C00-C97] |
|
|
|
Deaths |
141 |
62 |
41 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
1.51(1.12, 2.05) |
1.65(1.15, 2.36) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
1.18(0.86, 1.60) |
1.28(0.89, 1.84) |
Percent change in HR |
|
21.85 |
22.42 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
58 |
21 |
11 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.39(0.84, 2.30) |
1.90(0.99, 3.66) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
0.95(0.57, 1.59) |
1.24(0.64, 2.42) |
Percent change in HR |
|
31.65 |
34.74 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
83 |
41 |
30 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.58(1.08, 2.30) |
1.53(1.01, 2.34) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.33(0.91, 1.96) |
1.30(0.84, 2.00) |
Percent change in HR |
|
15.82 |
15.03 |
Disease of circulatory [I00-I99] |
|
|
Deaths |
772 |
255 |
156 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
1.19(1.03, 1.38) |
1.22(1.02, 1.45) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
1.14(0.98, 1.32) |
1.16(0.97, 1.40) |
Percent change in HR |
|
4.20 |
4.92 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
356 |
93 |
39 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.01(0.80, 1.27) |
1.13(0.81, 1.58) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
0.94(0.74, 1.19) |
1.03(0.73, 1.45) |
Percent change in HR |
|
6.93 |
8.85 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
416 |
162 |
117 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.30(1.08, 1.56) |
1.26(1.02, 1.55) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.27(1.05, 1.54) |
1.23(0.99, 1.53) |
Percent change in HR |
|
2.31 |
2.38 |
Digestive [K00-93] |
|
|
Deaths |
49 |
49 |
37 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
3.21(2.15, 4.78) |
4.01(2.58, 6.23) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
3.07(2.02, 4.68) |
3.86(2.42, 6.15) |
Percent change in HR |
|
4.36 |
3.74 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
26 |
23 |
15 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
2.90(1.65, 5.09) |
4.31(2.26, 8.21) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
3.16(1.74, 5.71) |
4.85(2.43, 9.68) |
Percent change in HR |
|
-8.97 |
-12.53 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
23 |
26 |
22 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
3.48(1.97, 6.13) |
3.73(2.06, 6.76) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
2.94(1.63, 5.30) |
3.16(1.70, 5.84) |
Percent change in HR |
|
15.52 |
15.28 |
Others |
|
|
|
Deaths |
1296 |
482 |
362 |
HRb(95% CI) |
1 |
1.21(1.09, 1.35) |
1.35(1.20, 1.52) |
HRc(95% CI) |
1 |
1.11(1.00, 1.24) |
1.24(1.10, 1.40) |
Percent change in HR |
|
8.26 |
8.15 |
High SES |
|
|
Deaths |
451 |
144 |
81 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.16(0.96, 1.40) |
1.61(1.26, 2.04) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.03(0.85, 1.25) |
1.43(1.12, 1.84) |
Percent change in HR |
|
11.21 |
11.18 |
Low SES |
|
|
|
Deaths |
845 |
338 |
281 |
HRd(95% CI) |
1 |
1.22(1.07, 1.38) |
1.29(1.13, 1.48) |
HRe(95% CI) |
1 |
1.13(0.99, 1.28) |
1.19(1.03, 1.37) |
Percent change in HR |
|
7.38 |
7.75 |
a=Coded as per ICD 10
b=age and education adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox model.
c=age, education and tobacco adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox model
d= age adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox model.
e=age and tobacco adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox model |
Table 4 shows joint effect of tobacco and alcohol use stratified by SES. Exclusive drinking was associated with excess mortality among low SES drinkers. Similarly, exclusive SLT use was associated with excess mortality among low SES users. While, exclusive cigarette and exclusive bidi smoking were associated with excess mortality among both low as well as high SES smokers. The HRs were higher among those who drank and used tobacco compared to those who only drank or only used tobacco.
Table 4: Hazard Ratios in tobacco and alcohol users for deaths among 34,055 men. |
HRs (95% CIs)e |
|
Tobacco use |
|
|
|
|
|
Smokerc |
Alcohol use |
Never |
Smokelessb |
Only cigarette |
Bidid |
Never |
1 |
1.15(1.04, 1.26) |
1.36(1.20, 1.54) |
1.43(1.29, 1.60) |
Person year |
50081 |
32111 |
13061 |
19206 |
Deaths(n=) |
975 |
714 |
338 |
529 |
Ever |
1.03(0.84, 1.27) |
1.46(1.28, 1.65) |
1.52(1.31, 1.77) |
1.96(1.74, 2.21) |
Person year |
5567 |
13497 |
8066 |
11242 |
Deaths(n=) |
99 |
332 |
212 |
386 |
HRs(95% CIs)h |
High SESg |
Never |
|
0.98(0.83, 1.15) |
1.31(1.10, 1.57) |
1.63(1.33, 1.99) |
1 |
Person year |
27491 |
12937 |
7845 |
4659 |
Deaths(n=) |
494 |
220 |
166 |
119 |
Ever |
0.81(0.60, 1.10) |
1.51(1.22, 1.87) |
1.34(1.08, 1.66) |
2.25(1.79, 2.83) |
Person year |
3549 |
4985 |
5078 |
2729 |
Deaths(n=) |
47 |
105 |
102 |
89 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Low SESg |
Never |
1 |
1.26(1.11, 1.43) |
1.39(1.16, 1.65) |
1.41(1.23, 1.61) |
Person year |
22590 |
19174 |
5215 |
14547 |
Deaths(n=) |
481 |
494 |
172 |
410 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ever |
1.35(1.01, 1.80) |
1.44(1.23, 1.69) |
1.72(1.39, 2.11) |
1.91(1.65, 2.21) |
Person year |
2018 |
8512 |
2988 |
8513 |
Deaths(n=) |
52 |
227 |
110 |
297 |
b=only non-smoker
c=may include smokers plus mixed (smoking and smokeless tobacco) users
d=may include bidi plus mixed (bidi and cigarette) smokers
e=age and education adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model
g=low SES (those reporting education below high school) and high SES (those reporting education high school or above)
h=age adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model |
Table 5 shows the joint effect of frequency of tobacco and frequency of alcohol use stratified by SES.
Table 5: Hazard Ratios and 95% confidence intervals for frequency of tobacco and frequency of alcohol use for deaths among 34,055 men. |
|
Alcohol use frequency |
|
Never user |
<4 times a week |
>=4 times a week |
|
|
|
|
Never user |
1 |
0.94(0.70, 1.25) |
1.16(0.87, 1.54) |
Smokelessb
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.16(1.03, 1.30) |
1.12(0.85, 1.47) |
1.84(1.55, 2.19) |
6 to 10 |
1.08(0.91, 1.29) |
1.18(0.80, 1.75) |
1.31(0.96, 1.81) |
>10 |
1.18(0.91, 1.54) |
0.99(0.49, 1.99) |
1.92(1.35, 2.72) |
Smokerc |
|
|
|
Only cigarette |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.28(1.04, 1.56) |
0.75(0.45, 1.26) |
1.52(1.11, 2.07) |
6 to 10 |
1.39(1.14, 1.69) |
1.30(0.85, 1.98) |
1.55(1.12, 2.13) |
>10 |
1.41(1.17, 1.70) |
1.63(1.15, 2.33) |
2.04(1.58, 2.63) |
Bidid |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.25(0.99, 1.58) |
1.03(0.57, 1.88) |
1.94(1.37, 2.73) |
6 to 10 |
1.46(1.19, 1.79) |
1.67(1.17, 2.40) |
2.16(1.61, 2.90) |
>10 |
1.55(1.36, 1.76) |
1.54(1.17, 2.02) |
2.40(2.06, 2.80) |
High SESg |
Never user |
1 |
0.75(0.51, 1.09) |
0.80(0.50, 1.28) |
Smokelessb
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.04(0.85, 1.27) |
1.48(0.99, 2.20) |
2.04(1.48, 2.82) |
6 to 10 |
1.07(0.79, 1.46) |
1.41(0.73, 2.72) |
1.26(0.63, 2.54) |
>10 |
1.12(0.69, 1.82) |
0.55(0.14, 2.20) |
3.81(2.03, 7.16) |
Smokerc |
|
|
|
Only cigarette |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.24(0.93, 1.64) |
0.37(0.15, 0.90) |
1.36(0.84, 2.22) |
6 to 10 |
1.06(0.78, 1.44) |
0.99(0.54, 1.80) |
1.21(0.73, 2.03) |
>10 |
1.58(1.22, 2.03) |
1.42(0.91, 2.22) |
2.00(1.41, 2.84) |
Bidid |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.60(1.02, 2.51) |
1.47(0.55, 3.94) |
2.58(1.33, 5.00) |
6 to 10 |
1.04(0.62, 1.73) |
2.29(1.08, 4.83) |
1.98(1.02, 3.83) |
>10 |
2.13(1.69, 2.69) |
2.18(1.32, 3.59) |
2.71(1.99, 3.70) |
Low SESg |
|
|
|
Never user |
1 |
1.23(0.78, 1.95) |
1.52(1.07, 2.17) |
Smokelessb
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.28(1.11, 1.48)
|
0.95(0.65, 1.38) |
1.84(1.49, 2.27)
|
6 to 10 |
1.13(0.91, 1.40) |
1.09(0.67, 1.77) |
1.36(0.95, 1.95) |
>10 |
1.20(0.88, 1.65) |
1.30(0.58, 2.91) |
1.61(1.06, 2.45) |
Smokerc |
|
|
|
Only cigarette |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5 |
1.28(0.96, 1.70) |
1.46(0.78, 2.73) |
1.65(1.09, 2.49) |
6 to 10 |
1.75(1.34, 2.28) |
1.65(0.91, 3.01) |
1.88(1.24, 2.84) |
>10 |
1.24(0.94, 1.64) |
1.83(1.03, 3.25) |
1.98(1.36, 2.89) |
Bidid |
|
|
|
Frequency per day
1 to 5
|
1.13(0.85, 1.49) |
0.87(0.41, 1.84) |
1.73(1.16, 2.59) |
6 to 10 |
1.57(1.25, 1.98) |
1.47(0.97, 2.22) |
2.22(1.59, 3.09) |
>10 |
1.40(1.21, 1.63) |
1.32(0.96, 1.83) |
2.27(1.90, 2.72) |
b=only non-smoker
c=may include smokers plus mixed (smoking and smokeless tobacco) users
d=may include bidi plus mixed (bidi and cigarette) smokers
e=age and education adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model
g=low SES (those reporting education below high school) and high SES (those reporting education high school or above)
h=age adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by using Cox regression model |
Attenuation of Tobacco Hazard Ratios
Table 2 also shows the attenuation of tobacco associated HRs after adjusting for alcohol use. Among smokers and SLT users, the attenuation in HRs was highest (>20%) for deaths from digestive system diseases; mainly driven by deaths from liver diseases and for deaths from tuberculosis (TB). The next highest attenuation in HRs ranged between 10% to 20% for deaths from oral pharynx and respiratory neoplasm.
DISCUSSION
It is well known in India (and in Mumbai) that bidi smoking is more prevalent among individuals in low SES and cigarette smoking among high SES.4-7 The HRs in this study however, were higher among high SES bidi smokers and low SES cigarette smokers than their corresponding SES counterpart. Similarly, country/desi drinking was more prevalent in this study among individuals in low SES but higher HRs were observed among high SES country/desi drinkers. This contrasting association of SES with risk factors (tobacco and alcohol use) in terms of prevalence and in terms of mortality risk needs additional cohort studies from other locations.
A general perspective is that risky behaviors such as smoking and alcohol consumption are more prevalent in lower SES groups, therefore population attributable risks are expected to be higher in low SES groups.17 At present, a lot of research exists for explaining socioeconomic differences for tobacco use within India4-5,18-19 including Mumbai6-7 with higher prevalence of smoking and smokeless forms among lower SES groups. However, SES differences for mortality is minimally explored with only one study showing cancer mortality being higher among men with no formal education adjusting for ever-chewing of tobacco.20 The higher HRs observed in this study for high SES ‘country/desi’ drinkers counters study findings from other countries showing individuals of lower educational status having higher alcohol-attributable mortality compared to those with higher education.21,22,23 Thus the higher HRs among high SES bidi smokers and high SES ‘country/desi’ drinkers, deviates from widespread notion that higher risks or mortality are seen among lower SES groups,12-13,15,16,17 requires further examination. Given these examples, though this data is limited to one study area and does not provide a complete socioeconomic picture of India, the results pose importance of examining for socioeconomic differences. Additionally, findings from this study reiterate the need for further research into risks and mortality outcomes for bidi smokers.
Although, this study shows the increase in the risk of all-cause mortality due to tobacco use (in smoking or SLT form) was attenuated minimally after adjusting for alcohol use. For alcohol associated diseases, such as TB and digestive system diseases (mainly liver diseases) the attenuation was over 20% among SLT users, cigarette and bidi smokers.
The attenuation in the excess risk of mortality for liver diseases among smokers (mainly bidi smokers) and SLT users is consistent with the well-established finding of alcohol intake affecting the liver. However, it may be pointed out that the smoking association with liver diseases [OR=1.6, 95% CI (1.4–1.9)] remained unchanged even after adjusting for alcohol use in a nationally representative case-control study from India.24 However, these results were neither stratified nor adjusted for SLT use and the liver disease category included causes such as cirrhosis, hepatitis, jaundice, ascites, alcoholism, and alcohol poisoning. So there are few inconsistencies within and between countries but the IARC evaluated the evidence for relationship between smoking and liver cancer and found to be sufficient after adjusting for potential confounders.25
The high risk of all-cause and various specific causes of mortality after adjustment for alcohol consumption among smokers observed in this study is consistent with findings from other studies within India24,26 and a study from China.27 Higher HRs among bidi smokers than cigarette smokers for all-cause and for specific causes of death reconfirm bidi smoking being as harmful as cigarette smoking.8,28 This finding has important public health implication in India because about 90% of alcohol drinkers are tobacco users (Table 1) and 66% of smokers are bidi smokers.4 These results suggest for giving similar priority to bidi smoking and its health effects in addition to cigarette smoking. This current study also supports the conclusion made by Thun et al29 that after adjusting for age, further adjustment for behavioral and socioeconomic differences between smokers and non-smokers minimally affects the risk estimates associated with smoking.
For SLT users, the high risk of all-cause mortality after adjusting for alcohol use observed in this study is consistent with findings reported from two cohorts from USA30 but is little different from Trivandrum (India) cohort fndings.26 For specific causes, such as cancer, the increase in risk observed in our study was similar to other studies within India26 and outside India.30 While, for most other causes (such as respiratory, circulatory and digestive system diseases) our findings were little different.30 Additionally, inconsistencies were also reported for SLT use between cohorts within country. These inconsistent associations of SLT use with all-causes and various specific causes within and between countries probably point out towards more complex nature of SLT products used in different countries and their systemic effect. To further delineate alcohol adjusted SLT and mortality association, there is a need for undertaking multicentre prospective studies in countries where SLT and alcohol use are prevalent.
There are a few limitations with this study. The sample is not representative of the population as individuals residing in upper-middle-class and upper-class housing were excluded. This exclusion was purposive due to reasons of it being difficult to approach because of security constraints and lack of cooperation from the individuals. Hence, these results may not apply to this division of society. This may partially explain the results that we are seeing with this study. Stratifying the analysis by socioeconomic status, namely education, as high education and low education, the high SES individuals in this sample are different from the affluent group (upper-middle-class and upper-class). These high SES individuals may still have lower education and lower income compared to those affluent individuals and therefore we observe such findings from this study of higher HRs among high SES bidi smokers and high SES country/desi drinkers. Additionally, these high SES individuals might have some competing risk factors which is not known and not measured which possibly needs to be further explored. In relation to this, this study is limited to city of Mumbai, thus the results may be varied in other cities or areas within India, for which further research is necessary. Finally, this study reports results only for men. Although women in India do not smoke very much (~3%) but they do report the use of SLT (~18%). However, alcohol drinking among women is not expected to be major confounder for tobacco associated mortality because the prevalence of alcohol use among women in India is rather low (~2%).31
CONCLUSION
This study demonstrates the prominent role of SES in explaining mortality differences for risks from bidi smoking and ‘country/desi’ drinking for which multicentre additional studies are required. In addition to focusing on smoking forms of tobacco use, our study findings highlight the importance of estimating alcohol adjusted risk estimates for SLT users. Furthermore, the findings underscore the important role of alcohol use in tobacco associated mortality for causes such as TB and digestive diseases (mainly liver diseases).
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Authors acknowledge the technical support from the South East Asia Office of the World Health Organisation. The authors also wish to acknowledge the co-operation of the Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (BMC) in providing access to cause of death information and would also like to thank the entire field and study team for their valuable contribution to the study.
AUTHOR’S CONTRIBUTION
Conceived and designed experiment: MSP. Analysed the data: MSP, PCG, SSN. Wrote the paper: MSP, PCG, DNS, JV. Supervised the field work: MSP. Oversaw the data management, the statistical procedures and tests: MSP. Interpreted the results: MSP, PCG, DNS, SSN. Conducted the literature search and interacted with co-authors in subsequent drafts of the paper: MSP, JV.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
We do not have any conflict of interest.